Preface |
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iii | |
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vii | |
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ix | |
Summary |
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xi | |
Acknowledgments |
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xix | |
Acronyms and Abbreviations |
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xxi | |
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1 | (13) |
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1 | (1) |
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Objectives and Conceptual Model |
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2 | (6) |
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Pre-CalWORKs Welfare Reforms |
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3 | (1) |
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4 | (3) |
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Other Government Policies |
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7 | (1) |
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8 | (1) |
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8 | (3) |
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9 | (1) |
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Nonexperimental Program Evaluation |
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9 | (1) |
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10 | (1) |
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11 | (1) |
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12 | (1) |
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Organization of the Report |
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12 | (2) |
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14 | (17) |
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Overview of Descriptive Findings |
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14 | (1) |
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Meeting Federal Participation Rates |
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15 | (4) |
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Components Used to Determine Participation Rates |
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15 | (1) |
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How California Has Fared in Meeting All-Families Work Activity Participation Rates |
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16 | (1) |
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How California Has Fared in Meeting Two-Parent Work Activity Participation Rates |
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17 | (2) |
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How California Compares with the Rest of the Nation in Meeting Federal Work Activity Participation Rate Requirements |
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19 | (1) |
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Near-Universal, Immediate Participation in CalWORKs WTW Activities for 32 Hours per Week |
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19 | (6) |
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What Activities Are Welfare Recipients Participating In? |
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20 | (2) |
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How Many Hours Are Welfare Recipients Participating in the Activities? |
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22 | (1) |
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Of Those Current Welfare Recipients Who Are Working, How Much Are They Working? |
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23 | (2) |
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Possible Explanations for Descriptive Findings |
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25 | (6) |
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The Effects of County Welfare Programs |
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25 | (2) |
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The Effects of the Composition of California's Welfare Caseload |
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27 | (1) |
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The Effects of Pre-CalWORKs Reforms and CalWORKs Legislative Changes to the Benefit Structure |
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28 | (2) |
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The Effects of Other CalWORKs Legislative Changes |
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30 | (1) |
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The Effects of the Economy |
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30 | (1) |
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31 | (25) |
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Overview of Descriptive Findings |
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31 | (1) |
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Caseload Trends in California |
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32 | (9) |
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Aggregate Statewide Trends |
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32 | (4) |
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Disaggregated Trends by Subgroups |
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36 | (4) |
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The Effects of Changes in Population and Composition on California's Caseload |
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40 | (1) |
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California's Caseload Trends Relative to the Rest of the Nation |
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41 | (2) |
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Possible Explanations for the Descriptive Findings |
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43 | (13) |
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What Might Explain the Magnitude and Timing of the Caseload Decline in California? |
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43 | (5) |
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What Might Explain the Smaller Caseload Decline in California Compared with the Rest of the Nation? |
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48 | (8) |
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56 | (20) |
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Overview of Descriptive Findings |
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56 | (1) |
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57 | (1) |
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Employment, Earnings, and Earnings Growth Among Leavers |
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58 | (6) |
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How Welfare Leavers Are Faring in Terms of Any Employment and Earnings Growth |
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58 | (3) |
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How Leavers Are Faring in Terms of Full-Time Work and Household Resources |
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61 | (2) |
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Given Employment Levels, How Are Leavers Supporting Themselves? |
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63 | (1) |
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Entering Cohorts versus Leaving Cohorts |
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64 | (2) |
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Medi-Cal Take-Up Among Leavers |
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66 | (5) |
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Outcomes for All Single-Parent Households |
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71 | (1) |
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Possible Explanations for the Descriptive Findings |
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72 | (4) |
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Decreases in Return to Cash Aid, Increases in Employment and Earnings, and Decreases in Poverty Rates |
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72 | (3) |
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Increases in Medi-Cal Take-up Rates |
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75 | (1) |
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Conclusions and Next Steps |
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76 | (5) |
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76 | (3) |
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What Has Happened to Outcomes of Interest? |
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76 | (1) |
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What Caused These Outcomes? |
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77 | (2) |
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Were the Changes Worth the Cost? |
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79 | (1) |
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79 | (2) |
Overview of Factors That Might Affect Outcomes |
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81 | (11) |
Data Sources |
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92 | (4) |
Analytic Methods |
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96 | (4) |
Results of the Policy Simulation Conducted on Participation Rates |
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100 | (3) |
Caseload Decline by California Region and County |
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103 | (2) |
Bibliography |
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105 | |