At Cold War's End : US Intelligence on the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, 1989-1991

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Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2001-08-01
Publisher(s): Lightning Source Inc
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Summary

The last phase of the Cold War unfolded during 1989-1991. Determined to move "beyond containment" in relations with the Soviet Union, President George Bush challenged Mikhail Gorbachev to join the United States in ending the East-West conflict and the arms race. As Moscow reached new agreements with Washington and began withdrawing it troops and dismantling its massive military machine in Eastern Europe, its erstwhile allies, contrary to Gorbachev's expectations, rejected communism once and for all. The collapse of communism in Eastern Europe foreshadowed and to some extent accelerated its collapse in the USSR. Gorbachev found himself battling on two fronts at once, as he tried to maintain the USSR's superpower status and reform the Soviet system in what he described as a "battle to the death" with reactionary forces. That battle ended in mutual annihilation after the unsuccessful coup of August 1991, bringing about first the destruction of the old imperial order and later Gorbachev's presidency. The USSR then entered its death spiral and officially ceased to exist as of 31 December 1991.

Table of Contents

Forewordp. v
Prefacep. vii
Chronologyp. xlv
Appendixp. lvii
Documents: A Compendium of National Intelligence Estimates and Assessments
The Soviet Crisis: Gorbachev and the Perils of Perestroika
NIE 11-23-88, December 1988, Gorbachev's Economic Programs: The Challenges Aheadp. 1
SOV 89-10077, Central Intelligence Agency, Office of Soviet Analysis, September 1989, Gorbachev's Domestic Gambles and Instability in the USSRp. 27
NIE 11-18-89, November 1989, The Soviet System in Crisis: Prospects for the Next Two Yearsp. 49
NIE 11-18-90, November 1990, The Deepening Crisis in the USSR: Prospects for the Next Yearp. 83
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of Soviet Analysis, April 1991, "The Soviet Cauldron"p. 111
NIE 11-18-91, July 1991, Implications of Alternative Soviet Futuresp. 121
NIE 11-18.3-91, November 1991, Civil Disorder in the Former USSR: Can It Be Managed This Winter?p. 141
The End of Empire I: Eastern Europe
NIE 11/12-9-88, May 1988, Soviet Policy Toward Eastern Europe Under Gorbachevp. 151
NIE 12-90, April 1990, The Future of Eastern Europe (Key Judgments only)p. 179
The End of Empire II: National Secession and Ethnic Conflict in the USSRp. 180
SNIE 11-18.2-91, September 1991, The Republics of the Former USSR: The Outlook for the Next Yearp. 185
"New Thinking": Soviet Foreign Relations
SNIE 11/37-88, March 1988, USSR: Withdrawal From Afghanistan (Key Judgments only)p. 215
SNIE 11-16-88CX, November 1988, Soviet Policy During the Next Phase of Arms Control in Europe (Key Judgments only)p. 221
NIE 11-4-89, April 1989, Soviet Policy Toward the West: The Gorbachev Challengep. 227
SNIE 11/37-89, November, 1989, Afghanistan: The War in Perspective (Key Judgments only)p. 255
NI IIM 91-10006, November 1991, Soviet Tactical Nuclear Forces and Gorbachev's Nuclear Pledges: Impact, Motivations, and Next Steps (Key Judgments only)p. 259
The Military Balance I: Conventional Forces in Europe
NIE 11-14-89, February 1989, Trends and Development in Warsaw Pact Theater Forces and Doctrine Through the 1990sp. 265
M/H NIE 4-1-84, September 1989, Warning of War in Europe: Changing Warsaw Pact Planning and Forces (Key Judgments only)p. 289
NIC M 89-10002, September 1989, The Post-CFE Environment in Europep. 297
NIC M 89-10003, October 1989, Status of Soviet Unilateral Withdrawalsp. 303
NIC M 89-10005, November 1989, Soviet Theater Forces in 1991: The Impact of the Unilateral Withdrawals on Structure and Capabilities (Key Judgments only)p. 315
NIC M 90-10002, April 1990, The Direction of Change in the Warsaw Pactp. 319
The Military Balance II: Strategic Nuclear Weapons
NIE 11-3/8-88, December 1988, Soviet Forces and Capabilities for Strategic Nuclear Conflict Through the Late 1990s (Key Judgments and Executive Summary)p. 341
NIE 11-3/8-91, August 1991, Soviet Forces and Capabilities for Strategic Nuclear Conflict Through the Year 2000 (Key Judgments only)p. 359
NIE 11-30-91C, December 1991, The Winter of the Soviet Military: Cohesion or Collapse?p. 369
Table of Contents provided by Syndetics. All Rights Reserved.

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